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❓:A comic book enthusiast has meticulously tracked the release of Wonder Woman comics from her inception in 1941 to the present day, noting the various volumes and issues that have been published. Suppose the number of Wonder Woman issues released per year can be modeled by the function ( f(t) = 20e^{-0.05(t-1941)} + 5 ), where ( t ) is the year.1. Calculate the total number of Wonder Woman issues released from 1941 to 2023 by integrating the given function ( f(t) ) over this interval.2. If the enthusiast decides to analyze the societal impact of Wonder Woman issues released specifically during the decades where the number of issues was greater than the average number of issues released per year from 1941 to 2023, find the years within which this condition holds true.
🧠:<think>Alright, so I have this problem about Wonder Woman comics, and I need to figure out two things. First, I need to calculate the total number of issues released from 1941 to 2023 using the given function. Second, I have to find the decades where the number of issues was above the average per year over that entire period. Hmm, okay, let me break this down step by step.Starting with the first part: integrating the function ( f(t) = 20e^{-0.05(t-1941)} + 5 ) from 1941 to 2023. I remember that integrating an exponential function involves some standard techniques. Let me recall the integral of ( e^{kt} ) is ( frac{1}{k}e^{kt} ), right? So, I think I can handle the exponential part, and the constant term should be straightforward.First, let me rewrite the function for clarity:( f(t) = 20e^{-0.05(t - 1941)} + 5 )I need to integrate this from t = 1941 to t = 2023. Let me set up the integral:Total issues = ( int_{1941}^{2023} [20e^{-0.05(t - 1941)} + 5] dt )I can split this integral into two parts:Total issues = ( 20 int_{1941}^{2023} e^{-0.05(t - 1941)} dt + 5 int_{1941}^{2023} dt )Let me handle the first integral. Let me make a substitution to simplify it. Let u = t - 1941. Then, when t = 1941, u = 0, and when t = 2023, u = 2023 - 1941 = 82. So, the integral becomes:( 20 int_{0}^{82} e^{-0.05u} du )The integral of ( e^{-0.05u} ) with respect to u is ( frac{1}{-0.05}e^{-0.05u} ) + C, right? So, evaluating from 0 to 82:( 20 left[ frac{1}{-0.05} (e^{-0.05*82} - e^{0}) right] )Simplify that:( 20 left[ frac{-1}{0.05} (e^{-4.1} - 1) right] )Wait, hold on, the negative sign will flip the terms:( 20 left[ frac{1}{0.05} (1 - e^{-4.1}) right] )Because ( e^{-0.05*82} = e^{-4.1} ). So, ( 1 - e^{-4.1} ) is positive, and multiplying by 20 and 1/0.05.Calculating that:First, 1/0.05 is 20, so:20 * 20 * (1 - e^{-4.1}) = 400 * (1 - e^{-4.1})Now, let me compute e^{-4.1}. I know that e^{-4} is approximately 0.0183, and e^{-4.1} is a bit less. Let me use a calculator for more precision.Calculating e^{-4.1}:Using the fact that e^{-4} ≈ 0.01831563888, and e^{-0.1} ≈ 0.90483741803. So, e^{-4.1} = e^{-4} * e^{-0.1} ≈ 0.01831563888 * 0.90483741803 ≈ 0.01657.So, 1 - e^{-4.1} ≈ 1 - 0.01657 ≈ 0.98343.Therefore, 400 * 0.98343 ≈ 400 * 0.98343 ≈ 393.372.So, the first integral is approximately 393.372.Now, moving on to the second integral:5 * ( int_{1941}^{2023} dt )That's straightforward. The integral of dt from 1941 to 2023 is just the difference in years, which is 2023 - 1941 = 82 years.So, 5 * 82 = 410.Therefore, the total number of issues is approximately 393.372 + 410 ≈ 803.372.Hmm, so approximately 803.372 issues. But since the number of issues should be an integer, I guess we can round this to 803 issues. But let me double-check my calculations because sometimes when dealing with exponentials, small errors can occur.Wait, let me verify the substitution step again. I set u = t - 1941, so du = dt, correct. Then, the limits from t=1941 to t=2023 become u=0 to u=82, correct. The integral of e^{-0.05u} du is indeed (-1/0.05)e^{-0.05u} + C. So, evaluating from 0 to 82, it's (-1/0.05)(e^{-4.1} - 1). Then, multiplying by 20:20 * (-1/0.05)(e^{-4.1} - 1) = 20 * (-20)(e^{-4.1} - 1) = 20 * 20 (1 - e^{-4.1}) = 400*(1 - e^{-4.1}), which is what I had before. So, that seems correct.Calculating 1 - e^{-4.1} ≈ 0.98343, so 400 * 0.98343 ≈ 393.372. Then, adding 410 gives 803.372, which is approximately 803.37. So, about 803 issues. Since we can't have a fraction of an issue, I think 803 is the total number.Wait, but let me think again. The function f(t) gives the number of issues per year, right? So, integrating f(t) over the years gives the total number of issues. So, the integral result is in issues, not per year. So, 803.372 is approximately 803 issues. That seems reasonable.Now, moving on to the second part: finding the decades where the number of issues was greater than the average number of issues per year from 1941 to 2023.First, I need to find the average number of issues per year over this period. The average is total issues divided by the number of years.Total issues ≈ 803.372Number of years = 2023 - 1941 + 1 = 83 years. Wait, because from 1941 to 2023 inclusive is 83 years. Let me confirm: 2023 - 1941 = 82, so adding 1 gives 83 years.Therefore, average per year = 803.372 / 83 ≈ let's calculate that.803.372 / 83: 83 * 9 = 747, 83*9.6 = 747 + 83*0.6 = 747 + 49.8 = 796.8. 803.372 - 796.8 = 6.572. So, 9.6 + (6.572 / 83) ≈ 9.6 + 0.079 ≈ 9.679.So, approximately 9.68 issues per year on average.Therefore, we need to find the years where f(t) > 9.68.So, set up the inequality:20e^{-0.05(t - 1941)} + 5 > 9.68Subtract 5 from both sides:20e^{-0.05(t - 1941)} > 4.68Divide both sides by 20:e^{-0.05(t - 1941)} > 4.68 / 20Calculate 4.68 / 20 = 0.234So, e^{-0.05(t - 1941)} > 0.234Take natural logarithm on both sides:-0.05(t - 1941) > ln(0.234)Calculate ln(0.234). Let me recall that ln(0.25) is about -1.386, and 0.234 is slightly less than 0.25, so ln(0.234) is slightly less than -1.386. Let me compute it more accurately.Using calculator approximation:ln(0.234) ≈ -1.454So, -0.05(t - 1941) > -1.454Multiply both sides by -1, which reverses the inequality:0.05(t - 1941) < 1.454Divide both sides by 0.05:t - 1941 < 1.454 / 0.05Calculate 1.454 / 0.05 = 29.08So, t - 1941 < 29.08Therefore, t < 1941 + 29.08 ≈ 1970.08So, the inequality holds for t < 1970.08. Since t is the year, this means that from 1941 up to approximately 1970, the number of issues per year was above the average.But the question asks for the decades where this condition holds. So, we need to identify the decades within 1941 to 2023 where the number of issues was greater than the average.Given that the condition holds from 1941 to approximately 1970, let's see which decades that covers.From 1941 to 1970, that's the 1940s, 1950s, 1960s, and part of the 1970s. But since the condition is t < 1970.08, so up to 1970, the issues are above average. So, the decades would be the 1940s, 1950s, 1960s, and the first part of the 1970s. But since decades are in 10-year increments, we need to see which full decades are entirely above average or if only parts are.Wait, but actually, the function f(t) is decreasing because of the negative exponent. So, as t increases, f(t) decreases. Therefore, the number of issues per year starts high in 1941 and decreases over time.So, the average is about 9.68 issues per year. The function f(t) starts at t=1941:f(1941) = 20e^{0} + 5 = 20 + 5 = 25 issues.And it decreases over time. So, the number of issues per year starts at 25 and decreases exponentially towards 5.We found that f(t) > 9.68 up until approximately t=1970.08, so up to 1970. So, the years from 1941 to 1970 have more than average issues.Therefore, the decades where the number of issues was greater than the average are the 1940s, 1950s, 1960s, and part of the 1970s. But since the question asks for the decades, we can consider the full decades where the entire decade is above average. Wait, but actually, the function is decreasing, so the entire decade of the 1940s (1941-1950) is above average, the 1950s (1951-1960), the 1960s (1961-1970), and part of the 1970s (1971-1970.08). But since 1970.08 is just into 1970, the full decade of the 1970s isn't entirely above average. So, the full decades where the number of issues was above average are the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s.Wait, but let me think again. The function is above average until 1970.08, so the year 1970 is still above average. So, the decade of the 1970s starts in 1970, but only part of it is above average. So, maybe the question is asking for the decades where the number of issues was above average, regardless of whether the entire decade is above or not. So, perhaps it's the 1940s, 1950s, 1960s, and the first part of the 1970s. But since decades are 10-year periods, we can say that the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s are the full decades where the number of issues was above average, and part of the 1970s as well.But the question says "the decades where the number of issues was greater than the average". So, perhaps it's acceptable to say the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s, since those are complete decades where the average was exceeded. Alternatively, if we consider that the 1970s started with some years above average, but the question might be expecting the full decades.Alternatively, maybe we can calculate the exact year when f(t) = average, which is approximately 1970.08, so 1970. So, the years from 1941 to 1970 have f(t) > average. Therefore, the decades would be 1940s (1941-1950), 1950s (1951-1960), 1960s (1961-1970). So, those three decades.But wait, 1970 is part of the 1970s, but since the condition is up to 1970.08, which is just into 1970, maybe the 1970s decade isn't fully included. So, perhaps the answer is the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s.Alternatively, if we consider that the function is above average until 1970, which is the start of the 1970s, maybe the 1970s decade isn't considered because only a small part is above average. So, the answer is the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s.But let me double-check the calculation for when f(t) = average.We had:20e^{-0.05(t - 1941)} + 5 = 9.68So, 20e^{-0.05(t - 1941)} = 4.68e^{-0.05(t - 1941)} = 0.234Taking natural log:-0.05(t - 1941) = ln(0.234) ≈ -1.454So, t - 1941 = (-1.454)/(-0.05) = 29.08Therefore, t = 1941 + 29.08 ≈ 1970.08So, the exact point where f(t) equals the average is approximately 1970.08, so just into 1970. Therefore, the years from 1941 to 1970.08 have f(t) > average. So, the entire 1940s (1941-1950), 1950s (1951-1960), 1960s (1961-1970), and a tiny part of 1970. So, the decades where the number of issues was greater than the average are the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s, and part of the 1970s. But since the question asks for the years within which this condition holds true, perhaps it's better to express it as the range from 1941 to 1970.But the question specifically says "decades", so maybe it's expecting the decades as in the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s. Because the 1970s decade starts in 1970, but only a fraction of it is above average, so it's not a full decade.Alternatively, if we consider that the 1970s started in 1970, and the condition holds until 1970.08, which is just into 1970, so perhaps the 1970s decade isn't fully included. Therefore, the answer is the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s.But let me think again. The average is 9.68 issues per year. The function f(t) is decreasing, so it starts at 25 in 1941 and decreases to 5 as t approaches infinity. So, the function crosses the average at t ≈ 1970.08. Therefore, from 1941 to 1970, the number of issues per year is above average. So, the decades that fall entirely within this period are the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s. The 1970s decade starts in 1970, but only the year 1970 is above average, which is just a single year, not a full decade.Therefore, the answer is that the number of issues was greater than the average during the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s.Wait, but let me confirm the exact calculation. If I plug t=1970 into f(t):f(1970) = 20e^{-0.05(1970 - 1941)} + 5 = 20e^{-0.05*29} + 5 = 20e^{-1.45} + 5Calculate e^{-1.45}: e^{-1} ≈ 0.3679, e^{-1.45} ≈ 0.234 (as before). So, 20*0.234 ≈ 4.68, plus 5 is 9.68, which is exactly the average. So, at t=1970, f(t)=average. Therefore, the years before 1970 have f(t) > average, and at 1970, it's equal. So, the condition f(t) > average holds for t < 1970.08, so up to 1970.08, which is just into 1970. So, the year 1970 is the transition year.Therefore, the decades where the number of issues was greater than the average are the 1940s, 1950s, and 1960s, because those are the full decades before 1970.So, summarizing:1. Total issues ≈ 8032. Decades: 1940s, 1950s, 1960sBut let me check if the total issues calculation is correct. I had:Integral of 20e^{-0.05u} from 0 to 82: 400*(1 - e^{-4.1}) ≈ 393.372Plus integral of 5 dt from 1941 to 2023: 5*82=410Total ≈ 393.372 + 410 = 803.372 ≈ 803 issues.Yes, that seems correct.Alternatively, maybe I should present the exact value without rounding too early. Let me compute 1 - e^{-4.1} more accurately.Using a calculator, e^{-4.1} ≈ 0.01657So, 1 - 0.01657 ≈ 0.98343400 * 0.98343 ≈ 393.372Then, 393.372 + 410 = 803.372 ≈ 803.37So, approximately 803.37 issues. Since we can't have a fraction, 803 issues.Alternatively, if we keep more decimal places, maybe 803.37 is closer to 803.37, but since the question doesn't specify, 803 is fine.So, final answers:1. Total issues: approximately 8032. Decades: 1940s, 1950s, 1960sBut let me write them in the required format.</think>
❓:A stoic financial auditor, who meticulously seeks balance between risk and reward in their portfolio management, needs to evaluate the expected return and risk of a specific portfolio. The portfolio consists of two assets, A and B. The auditor has the following information:1. The expected return of Asset A, ( E(R_A) ), is 8%, and its standard deviation, ( sigma_A ), is 12%.2. The expected return of Asset B, ( E(R_B) ), is 6%, and its standard deviation, ( sigma_B ), is 9%.3. The correlation coefficient between the returns of Asset A and Asset B, ( rho_{AB} ), is 0.4.4. The portfolio is composed of 60% of Asset A and 40% of Asset B.Sub-problems:1. Calculate the expected return of the portfolio, ( E(R_P) ).2. Calculate the standard deviation of the portfolio, ( sigma_P ), which represents the risk of the portfolio.Use the following formula for the standard deviation of the portfolio:[ sigma_P = sqrt{w_A^2 sigma_A^2 + w_B^2 sigma_B^2 + 2w_Aw_Bsigma_Asigma_Brho_{AB}} ]where ( w_A ) and ( w_B ) are the weights of Asset A and Asset B in the portfolio, respectively.
🧠:<think>Alright, so I have this problem where I need to evaluate the expected return and risk of a portfolio consisting of two assets, A and B. The portfolio is made up of 60% Asset A and 40% Asset B. I have the expected returns, standard deviations, and the correlation coefficient between the two assets. I need to calculate both the expected return and the standard deviation of the portfolio.Let me start with the first part: calculating the expected return of the portfolio, ( E(R_P) ). I remember that the expected return of a portfolio is just the weighted average of the expected returns of the individual assets. So, if I have weights ( w_A ) and ( w_B ) for Assets A and B respectively, then the formula should be:[ E(R_P) = w_A times E(R_A) + w_B times E(R_B) ]Given that ( w_A = 60% = 0.6 ) and ( w_B = 40% = 0.4 ), and the expected returns are 8% for Asset A and 6% for Asset B, I can plug these values into the formula.So, let me compute that:First, calculate ( 0.6 times 8% ). Hmm, 0.6 times 8 is 4.8, so that's 4.8%.Next, calculate ( 0.4 times 6% ). 0.4 times 6 is 2.4, so that's 2.4%.Now, add these two results together to get the expected return of the portfolio: 4.8% + 2.4% = 7.2%.Wait, that seems straightforward. So, the expected return of the portfolio is 7.2%. I think that's correct. Let me double-check the formula. Yes, it's a weighted average, so multiplying each asset's expected return by its weight and summing them up should give the portfolio's expected return. Yep, that makes sense.Moving on to the second part: calculating the standard deviation of the portfolio, ( sigma_P ). This is a bit more involved because it takes into account not just the individual standard deviations but also the correlation between the two assets. The formula provided is:[ sigma_P = sqrt{w_A^2 sigma_A^2 + w_B^2 sigma_B^2 + 2w_Aw_Bsigma_Asigma_Brho_{AB}} ]Alright, let's break this down step by step.First, I need to square the weights and multiply them by the squares of the standard deviations. Then, I have to compute the covariance term, which involves the correlation coefficient. Let me write down each component separately.1. Compute ( w_A^2 times sigma_A^2 ): - ( w_A = 0.6 ), so ( w_A^2 = 0.6 times 0.6 = 0.36 ) - ( sigma_A = 12% = 0.12 ), so ( sigma_A^2 = 0.12 times 0.12 = 0.0144 ) - Multiply them together: ( 0.36 times 0.0144 = 0.005184 )2. Compute ( w_B^2 times sigma_B^2 ): - ( w_B = 0.4 ), so ( w_B^2 = 0.4 times 0.4 = 0.16 ) - ( sigma_B = 9% = 0.09 ), so ( sigma_B^2 = 0.09 times 0.09 = 0.0081 ) - Multiply them together: ( 0.16 times 0.0081 = 0.001296 )3. Compute the covariance term ( 2w_Aw_Bsigma_Asigma_Brho_{AB} ): - First, calculate ( 2 times w_A times w_B ): ( 2 times 0.6 times 0.4 = 2 times 0.24 = 0.48 ) - Then, multiply by ( sigma_A times sigma_B ): ( 0.12 times 0.09 = 0.0108 ) - Next, multiply by the correlation coefficient ( rho_{AB} = 0.4 ): ( 0.48 times 0.0108 times 0.4 ) - Let me compute that step by step: - 0.48 times 0.0108: 0.48 * 0.0108 = 0.005184 - Then, 0.005184 times 0.4 = 0.0020736So, now I have all three components:1. 0.0051842. 0.0012963. 0.0020736Now, add them all together:0.005184 + 0.001296 = 0.00648Then, add the covariance term: 0.00648 + 0.0020736 = 0.0085536So, the value inside the square root is 0.0085536. Now, take the square root of that to get the standard deviation.Let me compute the square root of 0.0085536.I know that 0.09 squared is 0.0081, and 0.092 squared is approximately 0.008464, and 0.093 squared is about 0.008649.So, 0.0085536 is between 0.008464 and 0.008649, which means the square root is between 0.092 and 0.093.Let me compute 0.092 squared: 0.092 * 0.092 = 0.008464Difference between 0.0085536 and 0.008464 is 0.0000896.Now, let's see how much more we need beyond 0.092.The difference between 0.008649 and 0.008464 is 0.000185.So, 0.0000896 is approximately half of 0.000185, so maybe 0.092 + 0.0005 = 0.0925.Let me check 0.0925 squared:0.0925 * 0.0925:First, 0.09 * 0.09 = 0.0081Then, 0.0025 * 0.09 = 0.000225Similarly, 0.09 * 0.0025 = 0.000225And 0.0025 * 0.0025 = 0.00000625Adding all together: 0.0081 + 0.000225 + 0.000225 + 0.00000625 = 0.00855625Wait, that's very close to 0.0085536. So, 0.0925 squared is approximately 0.00855625, which is just a bit higher than 0.0085536.So, the square root is approximately 0.0925, but slightly less.Given that 0.0925 squared is 0.00855625, which is 0.00000265 higher than 0.0085536.To find a more precise value, let's denote x = 0.0925 - delta, such that x^2 = 0.0085536.Using linear approximation:x ≈ 0.0925 - (delta) * (2 * 0.0925)We have:x^2 ≈ (0.0925)^2 - 2 * 0.0925 * delta = 0.00855625 - 0.185 * deltaSet this equal to 0.0085536:0.00855625 - 0.185 * delta = 0.0085536Subtract 0.0085536 from both sides:0.00000265 - 0.185 * delta = 0So, 0.185 * delta = 0.00000265Therefore, delta ≈ 0.00000265 / 0.185 ≈ 0.00001432So, x ≈ 0.0925 - 0.00001432 ≈ 0.09248568So, approximately 0.092486.Therefore, the square root is approximately 0.092486, which is 9.2486%.But since the original standard deviations were given to two decimal places, maybe we can round this to two decimal places as well.So, 0.092486 is approximately 9.25%.Wait, but let me verify that with a calculator approach.Alternatively, maybe I can use a calculator function here, but since I'm doing this manually, let me think.Alternatively, perhaps I can use the Newton-Raphson method for better approximation.Let me denote f(x) = x^2 - 0.0085536We know that f(0.0925) = 0.00855625 - 0.0085536 = 0.00000265f'(x) = 2xWe want to find x such that f(x) = 0.Using Newton-Raphson:x1 = x0 - f(x0)/f'(x0)Take x0 = 0.0925f(x0) = 0.00000265f'(x0) = 2 * 0.0925 = 0.185So,x1 = 0.0925 - (0.00000265 / 0.185) ≈ 0.0925 - 0.00001432 ≈ 0.09248568Which is the same as before.So, x ≈ 0.09248568, which is approximately 9.2486%.Rounding to two decimal places, that's 9.25%.But let me check, 0.09248568 is approximately 9.2486%, which is 9.25% when rounded to two decimal places.Alternatively, if I compute 0.09248568 * 100 = 9.248568%, which is approximately 9.25%.So, the standard deviation of the portfolio is approximately 9.25%.Wait, but let me double-check my calculations because sometimes when dealing with percentages, it's easy to make a mistake with decimal places.Let me recap:1. ( w_A^2 sigma_A^2 = 0.36 times 0.0144 = 0.005184 )2. ( w_B^2 sigma_B^2 = 0.16 times 0.0081 = 0.001296 )3. ( 2w_Aw_Bsigma_Asigma_Brho_{AB} = 2 times 0.6 times 0.4 times 0.12 times 0.09 times 0.4 )Wait, hold on. I think I might have made a mistake in calculating the covariance term earlier.Let me re-examine that step.The covariance term is ( 2w_Aw_Bsigma_Asigma_Brho_{AB} ).So, plugging in the numbers:2 * 0.6 * 0.4 * 0.12 * 0.09 * 0.4Let me compute this step by step.First, compute 2 * 0.6 = 1.21.2 * 0.4 = 0.480.48 * 0.12 = 0.05760.0576 * 0.09 = 0.0051840.005184 * 0.4 = 0.0020736Wait, that's the same as before. So, that part was correct.So, the covariance term is indeed 0.0020736.Therefore, the total variance is 0.005184 + 0.001296 + 0.0020736 = 0.0085536Square root of that is approximately 0.092486, which is 9.25%.So, that seems correct.Alternatively, perhaps I can use another method to compute the square root.Let me try to compute sqrt(0.0085536).We know that 0.09^2 = 0.00810.092^2 = 0.0084640.093^2 = 0.008649So, 0.0085536 is between 0.008464 and 0.008649.Compute the difference:0.0085536 - 0.008464 = 0.0000896The total interval between 0.092 and 0.093 is 0.000185 (0.008649 - 0.008464).So, the fraction is 0.0000896 / 0.000185 ≈ 0.484Therefore, the square root is approximately 0.092 + 0.484*(0.093 - 0.092) = 0.092 + 0.000484 = 0.092484, which is approximately 0.092484, or 9.2484%, which rounds to 9.25%.So, that's consistent with my earlier calculation.Therefore, the standard deviation of the portfolio is approximately 9.25%.Wait, but let me check if I converted the percentages correctly.The standard deviations were given as 12% and 9%, which I converted to decimals as 0.12 and 0.09. That seems correct.And the weights were 60% and 40%, converted to 0.6 and 0.4. That also seems correct.So, all the numbers plugged into the formula are correct.Therefore, the calculations should be accurate.So, summarizing:1. Expected return of the portfolio, ( E(R_P) ) = 7.2%2. Standard deviation of the portfolio, ( sigma_P ) ≈ 9.25%Wait, but let me just make sure that when I calculated the covariance term, I didn't make any mistake in the multiplication.So, 2 * 0.6 * 0.4 = 0.480.48 * 0.12 = 0.05760.0576 * 0.09 = 0.0051840.005184 * 0.4 = 0.0020736Yes, that's correct.So, adding up:0.005184 (from A) + 0.001296 (from B) + 0.0020736 (covariance) = 0.0085536Square root is approximately 0.092486, which is 9.25%.Therefore, I think my calculations are correct.So, the expected return is 7.2%, and the standard deviation is approximately 9.25%.I think that's it. I don't see any errors in my reasoning or calculations.Final Answer1. The expected return of the portfolio is boxed{7.2%}.2. The standard deviation of the portfolio is boxed{9.25%}.</think>
❓:A climate change scientist is analyzing the relationship between global greenhouse gas emissions, (E(t)), measured in gigatonnes of CO(_2) equivalent per year, and the average global temperature anomaly, (T(t)), measured in degrees Celsius, where (t) is time in years since 2000. The data suggests a nonlinear relationship that can be modeled by a system of differential equations:1. The rate of change of emissions is influenced by both natural processes and human interventions, represented by the logistic growth model modified with a damping term due to technological advancements: [ frac{dE}{dt} = rEleft(1 - frac{E}{K}right) - cE^2 ] where (r) is the intrinsic growth rate of emissions, (K) is the carrying capacity, and (c) is a constant representing the rate of emissions reduction due to technology.2. The change in global temperature anomaly is modeled as a function of emissions and a feedback loop with the current temperature: [ frac{dT}{dt} = aE - bT + f(T) ] where (a) and (b) are constants, and (f(T)) is a nonlinear feedback function defined by (f(T) = alpha T^2), with (alpha) being a feedback coefficient.Given the initial conditions (E(0) = E_0) and (T(0) = T_0), predict the long-term behavior of both (E(t)) and (T(t)). Specifically, determine:a) The conditions on the parameters (r), (K), (c), (a), (b), and (alpha) that lead to a stable equilibrium in the system. b) Analyze the stability of the equilibrium points and determine the bifurcation points, if any, as a function of the feedback coefficient (alpha).
🧠:<think>Alright, so I have this problem where I need to analyze the long-term behavior of a system modeling greenhouse gas emissions and global temperature anomaly. The system is given by two differential equations:1. For emissions, E(t): [ frac{dE}{dt} = rEleft(1 - frac{E}{K}right) - cE^2 ] where r is the growth rate, K is the carrying capacity, and c is the reduction rate due to technology.2. For temperature, T(t): [ frac{dT}{dt} = aE - bT + f(T) ] where a and b are constants, and f(T) is a nonlinear feedback function defined as (f(T) = alpha T^2).The initial conditions are E(0) = E0 and T(0) = T0. I need to find the conditions on the parameters that lead to a stable equilibrium and analyze the stability of these equilibria, including any bifurcations depending on α.Okay, let's start by understanding each equation separately and then see how they interact.First, the emissions model. It's a logistic growth model with an additional damping term. The standard logistic equation is (frac{dE}{dt} = rE(1 - E/K)), which models growth with a carrying capacity K. The addition of the -cE² term suggests that as emissions increase, there's a quadratic damping effect, perhaps representing technological advancements that reduce emissions more effectively as E increases.So, for the emissions equation, let's find the equilibrium points by setting dE/dt = 0:0 = rE(1 - E/K) - cE²Factor out E:0 = E [r(1 - E/K) - cE]So, either E = 0 or r(1 - E/K) - cE = 0.Let's solve the second equation:r(1 - E/K) - cE = 0Multiply through:r - rE/K - cE = 0Combine like terms:r = E(r/K + c)So,E = r / (r/K + c) = rK / (r + cK)So, the non-zero equilibrium for E is E* = rK / (r + cK). That makes sense; it's a modified carrying capacity considering both the logistic term and the damping term.Now, moving on to the temperature equation. The equation is:dT/dt = aE - bT + αT²This is a nonlinear differential equation because of the T² term. To find the equilibrium points for T, set dT/dt = 0:0 = aE - bT + αT²So,αT² - bT + aE = 0This is a quadratic in T. The solutions are:T = [b ± sqrt(b² - 4αaE)] / (2α)So, the number of real solutions depends on the discriminant D = b² - 4αaE.If D > 0, two real solutions; if D = 0, one real solution; if D < 0, no real solutions.But since E is a variable here, not a constant, we need to consider the equilibrium points of E and T together.Wait, actually, in the system, E and T are both variables, so their equilibria are points (E*, T*) where both dE/dt = 0 and dT/dt = 0.So, to find the equilibrium points, we need to solve the system:1. E* = rK / (r + cK) (from the emissions equation)2. α(T*)² - bT* + aE* = 0 (from the temperature equation)So, substituting E* into the second equation:α(T*)² - bT* + a(rK / (r + cK)) = 0Let me denote E* as a constant value, so let's compute that:E* = rK / (r + cK)So, substituting into the temperature equation:αT*² - bT* + (a r K) / (r + cK) = 0So, this is a quadratic equation in T*, which can have 0, 1, or 2 real solutions depending on the discriminant:D = b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK)So, if D > 0, two equilibria; if D = 0, one; if D < 0, none.But wait, in the context of the problem, T(t) is a temperature anomaly, so it can take positive or negative values, but in reality, it's typically positive. However, mathematically, we can have both positive and negative solutions.But let's think about the physical meaning. If D < 0, then there are no real solutions for T*, which would mean that the system doesn't have an equilibrium point where both E and T are constant. That might imply that T(t) will either diverge or oscillate, but since E(t) is tending to E*, which is a constant, perhaps T(t) would approach some behavior based on that.But let's proceed step by step.First, let's summarize:Equilibrium for E is E* = rK / (r + cK)Equilibrium for T is T* = [b ± sqrt(b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK))]/(2α)So, the existence of real equilibria depends on whether the discriminant is non-negative.So, for real equilibria, we need:b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK) ≥ 0Which can be rewritten as:α ≤ b² / [4*(a r K)/(r + cK)] = (b² (r + cK)) / (4 a r K)So, the maximum value of α for which real equilibria exist is α_max = (b² (r + cK)) / (4 a r K)If α exceeds this value, there are no real equilibria, meaning the temperature doesn't settle to a constant value but perhaps oscillates or diverges.Now, moving on to part a): The conditions on the parameters that lead to a stable equilibrium.To determine stability, we need to analyze the Jacobian matrix of the system at the equilibrium points and check the eigenvalues.The system is:dE/dt = rE(1 - E/K) - cE²dT/dt = aE - bT + αT²So, the Jacobian matrix J is:[ ∂(dE/dt)/∂E ∂(dE/dt)/∂T ][ ∂(dT/dt)/∂E ∂(dT/dt)/∂T ]Compute each partial derivative:∂(dE/dt)/∂E = r(1 - E/K) - rE/K - 2cE = r - 2rE/K - 2cEWait, let's compute it step by step:dE/dt = rE(1 - E/K) - cE² = rE - rE²/K - cE²So, ∂(dE/dt)/∂E = r - 2rE/K - 2cESimilarly, ∂(dE/dt)/∂T = 0, since dE/dt doesn't depend on T.For dT/dt:dT/dt = aE - bT + αT²So, ∂(dT/dt)/∂E = a∂(dT/dt)/∂T = -b + 2αTTherefore, the Jacobian matrix at equilibrium (E*, T*) is:[ r - 2rE*/K - 2cE* 0 ][ a -b + 2αT* ]So, the Jacobian is a 2x2 matrix with the top right element zero. This means the eigenvalues are the diagonal elements, because the matrix is upper triangular.Wait, no, actually, the Jacobian is:[ J11 J12 ][ J21 J22 ]But in this case, J12 = 0, so the eigenvalues are J11 and J22.Wait, no, that's not correct. The eigenvalues of a 2x2 upper triangular matrix are the diagonal elements, yes. Because the eigenvalues are the roots of the characteristic equation det(J - λI) = 0, which for an upper triangular matrix is (J11 - λ)(J22 - λ) - J12 J21 = 0. But since J12 = 0, it's (J11 - λ)(J22 - λ) = 0, so eigenvalues are J11 and J22.Therefore, the eigenvalues are:λ1 = J11 = r - 2rE*/K - 2cE*λ2 = J22 = -b + 2αT*For the equilibrium to be stable, both eigenvalues must have negative real parts. Since these are real eigenvalues (because the Jacobian is upper triangular with real entries), we just need both λ1 < 0 and λ2 < 0.So, conditions:1. r - 2rE*/K - 2cE* < 02. -b + 2αT* < 0Let's compute each condition.First, condition 1:r - 2rE*/K - 2cE* < 0Factor out E*:r - E*(2r/K + 2c) < 0But E* = rK / (r + cK), so substitute:r - [rK / (r + cK)]*(2r/K + 2c) < 0Simplify the term inside the brackets:2r/K + 2c = 2(r/K + c)So,r - [rK / (r + cK)] * 2(r/K + c) < 0Let me compute [rK / (r + cK)] * 2(r/K + c):First, r/K + c = (r + cK)/KSo,[rK / (r + cK)] * 2*(r + cK)/K = 2rTherefore, the expression becomes:r - 2r < 0 => -r < 0Which is always true since r is a growth rate and should be positive. So, condition 1 is always satisfied.Now, condition 2:-b + 2αT* < 0 => 2αT* < b => αT* < b/2But T* is given by the quadratic solution:T* = [b ± sqrt(b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK))]/(2α)So, let's substitute T* into the inequality:α * [b ± sqrt(b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK))]/(2α) < b/2Simplify:[b ± sqrt(b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK))]/2 < b/2Multiply both sides by 2:b ± sqrt(b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK)) < bSubtract b:± sqrt(b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK)) < 0But sqrt(...) is always non-negative, so the left side is either positive or zero. Therefore, the inequality ± sqrt(...) < 0 can only be satisfied if we take the negative sign and the sqrt(...) is positive.So, for the negative sign:- sqrt(b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK)) < 0Which is always true because sqrt(...) is non-negative, so the negative of it is non-positive, which is less than 0.Therefore, the condition reduces to:- sqrt(b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK)) < 0Which is always true, but we also need the discriminant to be non-negative for real solutions, which we already considered earlier.Wait, but this seems a bit confusing. Let me think again.We have:From condition 2: αT* < b/2But T* is either [b + sqrt(D)]/(2α) or [b - sqrt(D)]/(2α), where D = b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK)So, let's consider both cases:Case 1: T* = [b + sqrt(D)]/(2α)Then, αT* = [b + sqrt(D)]/2Condition 2: [b + sqrt(D)]/2 < b/2 => sqrt(D) < 0But sqrt(D) is non-negative, so this can only be true if sqrt(D) = 0, which implies D=0.So, in this case, the condition is only satisfied if D=0, which is the case when α = α_max.Case 2: T* = [b - sqrt(D)]/(2α)Then, αT* = [b - sqrt(D)]/2Condition 2: [b - sqrt(D)]/2 < b/2 => -sqrt(D) < 0 => sqrt(D) > 0Which is true as long as D > 0, which is when α < α_max.So, putting it together:- For T* = [b + sqrt(D)]/(2α), the condition αT* < b/2 is only satisfied when D=0, i.e., α=α_max.- For T* = [b - sqrt(D)]/(2α), the condition αT* < b/2 is satisfied as long as D > 0, i.e., α < α_max.Therefore, the equilibrium points are:- When α < α_max: two equilibrium points, one with T* = [b + sqrt(D)]/(2α) and another with T* = [b - sqrt(D)]/(2α). The first one (higher T*) will have αT* = [b + sqrt(D)]/2, which is greater than b/2, so the condition λ2 < 0 is not satisfied, meaning that equilibrium is unstable. The second one (lower T*) has αT* = [b - sqrt(D)]/2 < b/2, so λ2 < 0, meaning this equilibrium is stable.- When α = α_max: D=0, so only one equilibrium point T* = b/(2α). Then, αT* = b/2, so λ2 = -b + 2αT* = -b + b = 0. So, the equilibrium is non-hyperbolic, and stability cannot be determined solely from the eigenvalues; we might have a bifurcation here.- When α > α_max: No real equilibrium points, so the system doesn't settle to a constant temperature; it might diverge or oscillate.Therefore, the conditions for a stable equilibrium are:- α ≤ α_max, where α_max = (b² (r + cK))/(4 a r K)And within this range, the lower T* equilibrium is stable, while the higher one is unstable.So, summarizing part a):The system has a stable equilibrium when α ≤ α_max, where α_max = (b² (r + cK))/(4 a r K). At α = α_max, the system undergoes a bifurcation where the two equilibria merge (a saddle-node bifurcation), and beyond α_max, there are no real equilibria, leading to potentially unstable behavior.Now, moving on to part b): Analyze the stability of the equilibrium points and determine the bifurcation points as a function of α.From the above analysis, we can see that as α increases, the discriminant D decreases. When α reaches α_max, D becomes zero, leading to a single equilibrium point. This is a classic saddle-node bifurcation where two equilibria (one stable, one unstable) collide and annihilate each other.So, the bifurcation occurs at α = α_max = (b² (r + cK))/(4 a r K)At this point, the system transitions from having two equilibria (one stable, one unstable) to no real equilibria. This is a critical point where the qualitative behavior of the system changes.Therefore, the bifurcation point is at α = α_max, and it's a saddle-node bifurcation.To confirm, let's think about the behavior:- For α < α_max: Two equilibria, lower T* is stable, higher T* is unstable.- At α = α_max: One equilibrium, which is non-hyperbolic (λ2 = 0), so it's a bifurcation point.- For α > α_max: No real equilibria, so the system may exhibit different behaviors, possibly unbounded growth in T(t) or oscillations, depending on the parameters.Therefore, the bifurcation occurs at α = α_max, and it's a saddle-node bifurcation where the two equilibria merge and disappear.So, putting it all together:a) The system has a stable equilibrium when α ≤ α_max, where α_max = (b² (r + cK))/(4 a r K). The stable equilibrium is at (E*, T*), where E* = rK/(r + cK) and T* = [b - sqrt(b² - 4α*(a r K)/(r + cK))]/(2α).b) The system undergoes a saddle-node bifurcation at α = α_max, where the two equilibrium points (one stable, one unstable) merge and disappear, leading to no real equilibria for α > α_max.I think that covers both parts of the question.</think>
❓:A military history blogger is analyzing the accuracy of a World War II tank model kit. The actual tank had a turret rotation speed of 20 degrees per second and could travel at a maximum speed of 40 km/h. The blogger has found that the model kit's turret rotation speed is scaled down by a factor of ( k ) and the travel speed is scaled down by a factor of ( m ). Additionally, the blog post mentions that the model kit's turret rotation completes a full 360-degree turn in 45 seconds.1. Determine the scaling factor ( k ) for the turret rotation speed of the model kit. Use this to calculate the actual turret rotation speed of the model kit in degrees per second.2. Given that the model kit's travel speed is also scaled, and assuming the model kit can travel 10 meters in 90 seconds, determine the scaling factor ( m ) for the travel speed. Use this to calculate the actual travel speed of the model kit in km/h.
🧠:<think>Alright, so I'm trying to help this military history blogger figure out the scaling factors for a World War II tank model kit. The actual tank had a turret rotation speed of 20 degrees per second and could go up to 40 km/h. The model kit, however, has its turret rotation and travel speed scaled down by factors ( k ) and ( m ) respectively. First, let's tackle the turret rotation speed. The problem says that the model kit's turret completes a full 360-degree turn in 45 seconds. I need to find the scaling factor ( k ) and then use that to find the actual turret rotation speed of the model kit. Hmm, okay.So, the actual tank's turret rotates at 20 degrees per second. That means, in one second, it turns 20 degrees. To find out how long it would take the actual tank to make a full 360-degree turn, I can divide 360 by 20. Let me write that down:Time for actual tank to rotate 360 degrees = 360 / 20 = 18 seconds.So, the actual tank takes 18 seconds to do a full rotation. But the model kit takes 45 seconds for the same rotation. That means the model is slower, which makes sense because it's scaled down. Now, scaling factors can be a bit tricky. If the model takes longer to do the same rotation, the scaling factor ( k ) would be less than 1. To find ( k ), I can compare the time it takes for the model versus the actual tank. Since the model takes 45 seconds and the actual takes 18 seconds, the scaling factor for time is 45/18. But wait, scaling factors for speed are inversely related to time. Because if something takes longer, its speed is scaled down by the inverse factor.So, scaling factor ( k ) for speed would be the actual speed divided by the model speed. But let's think about it step by step.The model's turret rotation speed is scaled down by ( k ), so:Model speed = Actual speed / ( k )We know the model's speed can be calculated from the time it takes to rotate 360 degrees. Since it takes 45 seconds, its speed is 360 degrees / 45 seconds = 8 degrees per second.Wait, that's the model's speed. So, the model's speed is 8 degrees per second. The actual speed is 20 degrees per second. So, the scaling factor ( k ) is the actual speed divided by the model speed.So, ( k = 20 / 8 = 2.5 ). Therefore, the scaling factor ( k ) is 2.5. That means the model's turret speed is 1/2.5 times the actual speed. Which is 0.4 times, or 40% of the actual speed. But wait, let me double-check that. If the model's speed is 8 degrees per second, and the actual is 20, then 20 divided by 8 is indeed 2.5. So, the model is scaled down by a factor of 2.5 in terms of turret rotation speed. That makes sense because it's taking longer to rotate, so the speed is slower.So, for part 1, the scaling factor ( k ) is 2.5, and the actual turret rotation speed of the model kit is 8 degrees per second.Now, moving on to part 2. The model kit's travel speed is scaled down by a factor ( m ). The problem states that the model kit can travel 10 meters in 90 seconds. I need to find ( m ) and then calculate the actual travel speed of the model kit in km/h.First, let's find the model's travel speed. It goes 10 meters in 90 seconds. So, speed is distance divided by time. Let's compute that.Model speed = 10 meters / 90 seconds ≈ 0.1111 meters per second.But we need to compare this to the actual tank's speed, which is 40 km/h. However, the units are different, so I need to convert them to the same units.Let me convert the model's speed to km/h. First, 0.1111 meters per second is equal to how many km/h? We know that 1 meter per second is equal to 3.6 km/h. So, 0.1111 m/s * 3.6 ≈ 0.4 km/h.Wait, let me do that calculation more precisely. 0.1111 * 3.6 = (1/9) * 3.6 = 0.4 km/h. Yeah, that's correct.So, the model's travel speed is 0.4 km/h. The actual tank's speed is 40 km/h. So, the scaling factor ( m ) is the actual speed divided by the model speed.So, ( m = 40 / 0.4 = 100 ).Therefore, the scaling factor ( m ) is 100. That means the model's travel speed is 1/100th of the actual tank's speed.But let me think again. The model's speed is 0.4 km/h, which is 1/100 of 40 km/h. So, yes, that makes sense. So, the scaling factor ( m ) is 100.Therefore, the actual travel speed of the model kit is 0.4 km/h.Wait, hold on. The question says, "use this to calculate the actual travel speed of the model kit in km/h." Wait, isn't the model's speed already given? Or is it asking for the actual tank's speed? Wait, no, the model's speed is scaled down, so the actual tank's speed is 40 km/h, but the model's speed is 0.4 km/h. So, perhaps the question is just confirming that, but maybe I misread.Wait, let me read again: "determine the scaling factor ( m ) for the travel speed. Use this to calculate the actual travel speed of the model kit in km/h."Wait, the model kit's travel speed is scaled down by ( m ). So, if the model's speed is 0.4 km/h, then the actual speed is 0.4 * ( m ). But wait, no, scaling factors can be confusing.Wait, scaling factor ( m ) is the factor by which the model's speed is scaled down. So, model speed = actual speed / ( m ). Therefore, actual speed = model speed * ( m ).But in this case, the actual tank's speed is 40 km/h, and the model's speed is 0.4 km/h. So, 0.4 = 40 / ( m ). Therefore, ( m = 40 / 0.4 = 100 ). So, that's consistent.But the question says, "use this to calculate the actual travel speed of the model kit in km/h." Wait, the model kit's actual travel speed is 0.4 km/h, which we already calculated. So, maybe the question is just asking to confirm that, but perhaps I'm misunderstanding.Wait, maybe the question is asking for the actual speed of the model kit, but the model kit is a model, so its actual speed is 0.4 km/h. But that seems a bit odd because the model kit is a model, so its speed is already scaled. Maybe the question is phrased incorrectly.Wait, let me read the question again:"2. Given that the model kit's travel speed is also scaled, and assuming the model kit can travel 10 meters in 90 seconds, determine the scaling factor ( m ) for the travel speed. Use this to calculate the actual travel speed of the model kit in km/h."Wait, so the model kit's travel speed is scaled down by ( m ). So, model speed = actual speed / ( m ). But the actual speed here is the actual tank's speed, which is 40 km/h. So, model speed = 40 / ( m ). But we have the model speed as 0.4 km/h. So, 0.4 = 40 / ( m ), so ( m = 40 / 0.4 = 100 ). Therefore, the scaling factor is 100, and the model's speed is 0.4 km/h. So, the "actual travel speed of the model kit" is 0.4 km/h. That seems correct.But wait, is the model kit's actual speed 0.4 km/h? That seems very slow. 0.4 km/h is about 0.25 miles per hour, which is like a slow walking speed. But for a model tank, that might make sense because it's scaled down.Alternatively, maybe I made a mistake in unit conversion. Let me double-check.The model kit travels 10 meters in 90 seconds. So, speed is 10 meters / 90 seconds. Let's convert that to km/h.First, 10 meters is 0.01 km. 90 seconds is 1.5 minutes, which is 0.025 hours (since 90 seconds is 1.5 minutes, and 1 minute is 1/60 hours, so 1.5 / 60 = 0.025 hours).So, speed = 0.01 km / 0.025 hours = 0.4 km/h. Yes, that's correct.So, the model's speed is indeed 0.4 km/h, which is 1/100th of the actual tank's speed of 40 km/h. So, scaling factor ( m ) is 100.Therefore, the scaling factor ( m ) is 100, and the actual travel speed of the model kit is 0.4 km/h.Wait, but the question says "use this to calculate the actual travel speed of the model kit in km/h." But the model kit's speed is already given as 10 meters in 90 seconds, which we converted to 0.4 km/h. So, maybe the question is just asking to confirm that, but perhaps it's a bit redundant.Alternatively, maybe the question is asking for the actual tank's speed, but that's already given as 40 km/h. Hmm.Wait, perhaps I misread the question. Let me read it again:"2. Given that the model kit's travel speed is also scaled, and assuming the model kit can travel 10 meters in 90 seconds, determine the scaling factor ( m ) for the travel speed. Use this to calculate the actual travel speed of the model kit in km/h."Wait, so the model kit's travel speed is scaled down by ( m ). So, model speed = actual speed / ( m ). But the actual speed here is the actual tank's speed, which is 40 km/h. So, model speed = 40 / ( m ). But we have the model speed as 0.4 km/h. So, 0.4 = 40 / ( m ), so ( m = 40 / 0.4 = 100 ). Therefore, the scaling factor is 100, and the model's speed is 0.4 km/h. So, the "actual travel speed of the model kit" is 0.4 km/h. That seems correct.But maybe the question is phrased in a confusing way. It says "use this to calculate the actual travel speed of the model kit in km/h." But the model kit's speed is already given, so perhaps it's just confirming that after finding ( m ), we can state the model's speed as 0.4 km/h.Alternatively, maybe the question is asking for the actual tank's speed, but that's already given. So, perhaps the question is just confirming the model's speed after finding ( m ).In any case, I think the scaling factor ( m ) is 100, and the model's speed is 0.4 km/h.So, summarizing:1. Scaling factor ( k ) for turret rotation speed is 2.5, and the model's turret speed is 8 degrees per second.2. Scaling factor ( m ) for travel speed is 100, and the model's travel speed is 0.4 km/h.I think that's it. Let me just make sure I didn't make any calculation errors.For part 1:Actual tank's turret speed: 20 degrees/second.Model's turret speed: 360 degrees / 45 seconds = 8 degrees/second.Scaling factor ( k = 20 / 8 = 2.5 ). Correct.For part 2:Model's distance: 10 meters in 90 seconds.Convert to km/h:10 meters = 0.01 km.90 seconds = 1.5 minutes = 0.025 hours.Speed = 0.01 / 0.025 = 0.4 km/h.Scaling factor ( m = 40 / 0.4 = 100 ). Correct.Yes, everything checks out.</think>